Wednesday 27 February 2013

Tragedy of Core Education & Technologies

Core Education & Technologies closed at 295.25 on 22nd February 2013. In 3 trading sessions has fallen to Rs. 60 a drop of 5 times its price value.

Some of the points we can discuss here wherein we will try to bring into light was the selling expected ?

From December 2010 - 22/02/2013 stock traded int he range of 250 to 350.

The questions to be asked here is ?

Did the fundamental analysis predicted the Buy/Sell for the stock ?

It's a question for me because I am not much into fundamentals as I believe price action (i.e., supply demand) and technicals. Fundamentals is the common sense one should apply what is the business ? what is the market cap ? competition or peers ? Potential growth ? according to me.

Although I can read basic balance sheets over past five years company has shown a consistent rise in Net profits and EPS. The book value has been increasing consistently over past five years along with the debt and total liabilities over the years have been a concern.

Did the technical analysis predicted the Buy/sell for the stock ?

To be precise Yes. Technical analysis applied in an appropriate way would have at least protected investors capital. It was a clear distribution pattern most of the bigger players sold off. Only one of many technical indicators indicated it was not a buy at all, If the investor would have done proper research applying technical analysis they would have not entered or exited the holding positions.  From past 2 years mostly retailers got stuck and now near the budget most of them have been trapped are in a disarray.

Why wasn't the circuit for the stock being capped ?

This is the Indian system anything can happen feeling sorry to say this. It happens only in India. Although SEBI is investigating the probe of sell off. The results of it in the coming days only can tell us.

But my only question here is, will the investors get their money back what ever the technical flaw for capping the lower circuit has happened ?

Any of the fundamental or general views will be appreciated as comments.

Its had a multiple support zone @ 46 - 54 made a low of 49.65 and the stock has bounced back to 71 odd levels giving a returns of 40% from lows. can bounce up to 90 odd levels in coming days.

so price action is the ultimate thing as short covering can be seen in the counter

To know more about your existing and future investments contact us on www.fortunfin.com or e mail us on rvangadi@fortunfin.com or +91 78291 55900.

Disclaimer: The above expressed view are individual basis. So solely consult your individual financial advisers to buy/sell/invest in stock markets consult your personal financial advisers. Also the article is written and published in general. The author is no where liable to any of the calamities as its opinion based.
      

Tuesday 26 February 2013

Asian Paint on the verge of correction

Asian Paints after a strong rally from around Rs. 3000 (March 2012) to make an high of 4677. It has broken  the upward trend line for short term along with the negative divergence in RSI, DPO and price confirmation on downward side showing the signs of correction. Break below 4550 has shown weakness.



 It is showing a clear signs of distribution and top with the targets of 4 _ _ _ and 4 _ _ _. The downward prcie action can retrace up to _ _ _ _. The key price levels and retracements are intentionally omitted to know more about it contact us back on http://fortunfin.com/contact-us.






Disclaimer: This is just an view based on the research of individual. So kindly trade along with the consultation of your financial adviser, market trends, price action and own risk appetite considered while investing or trading in stock markets. 

Monday 25 February 2013

Federal bank seen beak down of triangle price pattern

Federal Bank shown break down below key levels of 508 showing the signs of weakness and a clear distribution pattern and increasing volume we can see the probable targets of 478, 4 _ _ and 4 _ _. The key resistance is around 5 _ _ and 5 _ _. Trading/Investing wisely in markets is important to attain profits ultimately all fundamentals go void and prime importance is price action (i.e., supply & demand).



To know more about probable counts contact us back of http://fortunfin.com/contact-us.

PNB Analysis

The beauty of technical analysis is, If one can understand shows how to trade with set of technical Indicators & price action to cash in the probable trend. This is one of the examples which I would like to carry forward with my research on Punjab National Bank (PNB). My research indicates the price action in PNB and the probable movements in coming days with application of various technical analysis on daily & weekly charts.

                                                                  PNB Daily chart



PNB long term trend line of 920 was not crossed even after a strong up move of almost 12% after the stellar results on 01/02/2013. It has again pulled back to the lower levels the charts are suggesting the formation of a small symmetrical triangle which is on the verge of a break down suggesting negative implications. The 9 - EMA which is 8 _ _, 14 - EMA 8 _ _ and RSI have all been showing negative divergence. 

                                                                PNB Daily Fibonacci chart


PNB Daily fibonacci chart suggesting 8_ _ as the strong resistance along with moving average at same levels which is not breached in upper side from few trading sessions. 


PNB Weekly chart 


On weekly chart although price is trending down the indicators are suggesting higher tops and higher bottom formation. The key support for PNB is around 8 _ _ and 8 _ _ & key resistance is around 8 _ _ and 8 _ _. The key price levels have been intentionally not mentioned to know more about it further contact us back on http://fortunfin.com/contact-us.






Disclaimer: This is just an view based on the research of individual. So kindly trade along with the consultation of your financial adviser, market trends, price action and own risk appetite considered while investing or trading in stock markets. 

Thursday 21 February 2013

Yes Bank outlook for near term


We suggested yes bank to turn bearish in near term on 21/02/2013. The stock broke below bearish H&S pattern same day and was not able to cross 500 odd levels now trading around 431. Our targets for the entity was 444 which was achieved. 


Yes Bank Daily Chart


Yes Bank Weekly Chart

The counter in near term reaching the support zone of 4 _ _ - 4 _ _. There can be a short covering bounce of 6 - 8% in the entity in 10 - 15 trading session if the support zone is held. The short term immediate support is seen in the fibonacci retracements 38. 2% of the daily and weekly charts shown below.



Yes Bank Daily Fibonacci Chart


Yes Bank Weekly Fibonacci Chart

The worst case scenario can be 3_ _ odd levels for the counter which is also a _ _% retracement on the daily and weekly charts, If the further carnage is seen in the entity.

So long traders can wait for the positive divergences in price and technical indicators in the entity to enter long positions. It is advisable for short traders holding the positions to book profits in few trading sessions.


Raju V Angadi
 Equity Research Analyst
 Fortuna Financial Boutique (FFB)
 Bangalore, India.

Few counts have been intentionally omitted. To know more about probable counts contact us back of http://fortunfin.com/contact-us or e-mail us on research@fortunfin.com or rvangadi@fortunfin.com.


Disclaimer: This is just an view based on the research of individual. So kindly trade along with the consultation of your financial adviser, market trends, price action and own risk appetite considered while investing or trading in stock markets.



Where is yes bank heading towards technically looking weak .... what would be eventual targets ? To know about it contact us back on www.fortunfin.com




Friday 8 February 2013

Where is NIFTY trending towards ?

NIFTY daily chart showing the weakness and a tsunami to been in coming days ahead ...

If 5840 broken on closing basis NIFTY will be in a free fall mode ... what would be the near term targets ? An H&S pattern identified .... last couple of weeks back weakness in NIFTY was identified by us @ 6100 now you can see the results .... To know more contact us ....




Eventually NIFTY has broken below key support of 5930 and 5985 .... What would be the near term outlook ? Is downside capped or can we see a blood bath in NIFTY ? A falling wedge pattern identified .... The weakness in NIFTY was identified by us @ 6100 .... To know more contact us ....

www.fortunfin.com
+91 78291 55900


Wednesday 6 February 2013

karnataka Bank


 The break down below 154 can see deeper correction upside strong resistance is around 160 - 162.45 - 166.30 .... If cracks below what would be the targets ?  www.fortunfin.com




Sterlite Industries


Sterlite Industries has formed H &S lower side targets can be as ..... ?




www.fortunin.com



Our targets for sterlite Industries was achieved. Now can it bounce back from multiple support zone of 94 - 95 on the verge of a short covering towards Rs. 100. So short covering expected in sterlite Industries one can check for a short rally If 94 - 95 is held on as technicals indicating its almost in an oversold scenario. 

RCOM

RCOM charts looks bearish in short term .... with targets of 68 ...