Sunday, 8 March 2015

Bank NIFTY - Medium Term Outlook (Update 8th March 2015) - Bang on !!!

Bank NIFTY from 20000 odd levels reaches our final target 14800 Bang on !!!!

10 Months ago we have predicted 14800 on Bank NIFTY !!! Gracefully we were Bang on at the point !!!

What next ????

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Raju V Angadi Vishwanath, B.E., MS, CMT
Technical Analyst
rvangadi@googlemail.com
+91 78291 55900



                                                          Chart 1 (Weekly)  
                               

 Chart 2 (Daily)
       

Chart 3 (Weekly)
·     Bank NIFTY has been in a stellar structural rally from 9944 towards 20000+ levels from past 13 months
·         Bank NIFTY is now facing still resistance near 20000 odd levels on weekly charts
·      There is a saying that, “If a Positive news can’t take the index/stock up what else can”. After an RBI repo rate cut gap up opening Bank NIFTY unable to hold initial gains closing negative at days low forming double top near 20540 – 20550 levels as shown in Chart 2
·     On weekly charts unable to cross 20100 indicating the index is facing stiff resistance near the levels as shown in Chart 1
·        The Fibonacci extensions of the complete move of Wave 1 = 2.618 Wave 3 (Weekly), where Bankex is facing stiff resistance indicating can be the truncation of Wave 3 of Primary degree as shown in Chart 3
·      Fibonacci Time cycles series showing completion of 3.618 extension weekly charts and Fib spirals indicating the trend might be due for reversal
·        RSI has shown a negative divergence from price as shown in Chart 2
·       Wave counts also suggesting there could be termination of Wave 3 of Primary degree and could be a complex correction in both price and time is coming ahead as Wave 2 was simple zig-zag and Wave 4 could be complex as Wave 3 had a stellar rally of a 2.618 times Wave 1 as shown in Chart 1 & 3  

The Key Support & Resistance for the Bank NIFTY are:

S – 19632/ 19380/ 19032 / 18888  / 18650/ 18154/ 17500

R -19830/ 20060 - 80  / 20176/ 20457

Trade Setup:

Setup 1: 

Counts holds true until _ __ _ _ as stop loss Bank NIFTY can be short sold on any rises from Current levels (19748) using vital support and resistance zones for targets. The chart suggests a top of Wave of primary degree and anticipated Wave 4 complex corrective trend might emerge in BANK NIFTY.
Expected intermediate bottom near 17500 June 2nd Week 2015 and final bottom could be around September 2015 around 14800 – 15200 odd levels expected to retrace 50% of Wave 3

Setup 2:

In case, if counts gets invalid, Bull traders can setup trade once Bank NIFTY closes above _ _ _ _ _  with _ _ _ _ _ stop loss of initial targets of _ _ _ _ _. Above _ _ _ _ _ Bank NIFTY can have potential targets of _ _ _ _ _  levels. 


Raju V Angadi
Equity Research Analyst
Note: Short Term counts and key levels have been hidden purposefully.

To Learn simplified objective approach applying Advanced concepts of Elliot Wave Theory in conjunction with Dow Theory & Psychological traits to trade with some common sense & optimize your investment / trading decisions contact on:

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Note: This report is for educational purpose and the specific levels have not been mentioned. 

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